Prospects for Mexico in 2020

Subject

Prospects for Mexico in 2020.

Significance

Following a series of high-profile incidences of violent crime, President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) looks set to begin 2020 facing serious criticisms over his security strategy. Apparent moves towards more centralised economic management are putting the state in the driving seat, undermining investor confidence. The IMF forecasts economic growth of 1.3% for 2020, which will prove too optimistic if downside risks ultimately materialise.